Signal intelligence, priced to scale

Each index is a weighted composite of constituent prediction market prices, scaled to 0–100. It represents the aggregate money-backed probability across a theme. See our methodology page for the full formula.

Near real-time. Market prices update every 30 seconds, index values and constituent prices stream live via WebSocket.

Charts show all data from when you start monitoring. We’re focused on live signals, not historical research.

Polymarket and Kalshi — the two largest US-accessible prediction market platforms.

Money talks. When someone buys a prediction market contract, they’re risking real capital on being right. This filters out cheap talk, punishes overconfidence, and creates probabilities that consistently outperform polls and expert panels. We aggregate thousands of these money-backed signals.

Alerts catch signals when you’re not looking. A Slack message at 2am is worth more than a dashboard you check at 9am.

Anything. EU AI regulation, South China Sea risk, DeFi lending, nuclear energy policy — if prediction markets cover it, you can build a live index for it. Pro users create them self-serve. Enterprise gets white-glove building where you describe what you want and we set it up.

Self-serve: you provide keywords and the system finds matching markets instantly. White-glove: you describe a concept in plain English — “I want to track escalation risk in the South China Sea” — and our AI generates a comprehensive theme with nuanced keyword sets, exclusions, and curated market candidates for your review.